No-deal Brexit would be catastrophic for our daily lives – here’s how
As Westminster descends further into chaos and the clock to a no-deal Brexit on October 31 is ticking, Boris Johnson’s reckless Tory government is in denial of the damage it will cause.
Following a recent leak of internal UK government documents, the disastrous impacts of a no-deal Brexit have been confirmed – ranging from medicine shortages, rising food prices, and massive delays at borders.
While the Tories are happy to cause chaos and deliberately plunge the economy into recession, we cannot – and will not – allow it.
1) No-deal would have a severe impact on the Scottish economy
A no-deal Brexit would see Scotland’s GDP shrink by up to 7% and reduce real disposable income by almost 10%.
Economic slowdown caused by a no-deal would be expected to increase the unemployment rate to up to 8%, potentially slashing 100,000 Scottish jobs and costing every person £2,300 a year.
The Tories’ reckless rush towards recession due to their Brexit obsession is a price that Scotland must not pay.
🏴 A ‘No Deal’ Brexit could mean:
📉 7% drop in GDP
📦 10-20% drop in Scottish exports
🇪🇺 Net migration turns negative
👩🏭 Unemployment rising by 100,000
💷 Recession in 2019
Read the @scotgov Chief Economist’s report here: https://t.co/v3naP9smPf pic.twitter.com/8QrAAblYmV
— The SNP (@theSNP) February 21, 2019
2) Holidays will become even more expensive and complicated
The fall in the value of the pound has made the cost of European holidays more expensive and, outside of the EU, we may need to pay additional charges for going on holiday too. The UK government has also confirmed that booking accommodation and flights could become more expensive, due to the return of the ‘rip-off’ booking fees.
What’s more, UK passport holders with less than six months validity on their documents will be barred from entering Schengen area countries, such as Spain, Portugal or Greece. 26 Schengen countries require at least six months validity on passports.
BREAKING: Higher costs to book a Ryanair flight and hire an Airbnb in a no-deal Brexit – with no guarantee for financial services and exporters of organic food, government papers admit https://t.co/04O8rPoFWe
— Paris Gourtsoyannis (@thistlejohn) August 23, 2018
3) Medicines are being stockpiled
Any disruption to medical supply exports, cause by the chaos of tariffs, border checks and regulatory issues, could delay NHS patients from accessing treatments and pose serious risks.
Health Secretary, Matt Hancock, confirmed that the UK Government told drug companies and the NHS to stockpile six weeks’ worth of medical supplies, out of fear of shortages of essential drugs.
While some medicines can be stockpiled, others cannot because of short shelf lives. There may be shortages of certain medicines due to severe extended delays at border crossings.
What’s more, he admitted the cost of securing storage for stockpiling medicines has already amounted to tens of millions of pounds – passing the burden to the taxpayer for the Tories’ ideological obsession.
Here’s Scottish health secretary @JeaneF1MSP on idea of stockpiling medicine for “no deal” scenario pic.twitter.com/bjfmdZDic4
— Nick Eardley (@nickeardleybbc) July 24, 2018
4) People living in the EU could lose access to UK bank accounts
Alongside more expensive credit card payments when buying EU products, UK citizens living abroad could also lose access to their bank accounts and face slower processing times.
Britons in EU could lose access to UK bank accounts under no-deal Brexit https://t.co/DFDVgVrOYU
— The Guardian (@guardian) August 23, 2018
5) UK citizens living in the EU could lose access to pensions income
The UK government confirmed that leaving the Single Market without a deal would see the UK labelled a “third country”. That could see people who have lived and work in the EU lose access to their pensions, if they had paid into European pensions schemes.
Expat Brits face losing access to pensions in No Deal Brexithttps://t.co/gYujzUo2No pic.twitter.com/8IKE2nxvCk
— Mirror Politics (@MirrorPolitics) August 23, 2018
6) More red tape and bureaucracy for businesses
With a no-deal outcome, the UK government is encouraging businesses to employ experts to help them navigate the EU’s customs rules for “third countries”.
This will put an extra burden on businesses and increase costs for importing and exporting.
What’s more, businesses would have to register for a number of schemes and classifications, to enable them to register as importers and to be able to declare customs.
1) Britian would be more bureaucratic. The papers are replete with new regulatory regimes, doubling up of registration and extra processes for British business and consumers. This for example would be the new hurdles for UK importers/exporters to the EU. Currently there are none. pic.twitter.com/wFyAA5L2CW
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) August 23, 2018
7) Limited supply of fresh food and rising grocery prices
The analysis in the UK government’s Operation Yellowhammer document revealed that “critical elements of the food supply chain, such as ingredients and packaging” are likely to be in short supply following a no-deal crash-out, which will lead to less choice for consumers, emptier supermarket shelves, and increasing prices – with the most vulnerable in society paying the price for the Tories’ extreme Brexit fantasy.
Philip Hammond confirms what we all knew (even as no 10 sources issued dishonest denials). The Operation Yellowhammer document is recent. The Johnson Government is anticipating food, fuel & medicine shortages and a “meltdown” at ports in the event of a cliff edge Brexit. https://t.co/eKJKrS3LGG
— JOHN NICOLSON (@MrJohnNicolson) August 25, 2019
8) Thousands of Scottish students could be denied opportunity to study abroad
One of the great benefits of our EU membership is the freedom of movement, giving us the right to freely work, live and study across all member states of the European Union.
Scottish universities benefit from participating in the Erasmus study exchange programme, but in the event of a no-deal, the UK government refused to commit to providing funding for students planning to study in Europe.
This means thousands of Scottish students could miss out on life-changing opportunities that previous generations have taken for granted, paying the price for the damaging and hardline Tory agenda. In particular, this decision will affect disabled students and those from poorer backgrounds, many of whom rely on the Erasmus grants to meet the costs of studying abroad.
Incredibly sad that young people in the UK could lose out on these opportunities because of Brexit. We need to keep Erasmus+. #Erasmus #EuropeDay @keeperasmusplus https://t.co/8EgJpF6Dbq
— Alison Thewliss (@alisonthewliss) May 9, 2018