SNP record biggest ever poll lead

A new poll by YouGov has recorded the biggest ever poll lead for the SNP with the party establishing a 19% lead over the Labour party in Scottish Parliament constituency voting intentions.

The poll, commissioned by the SNP, is the first since John Mason sensationally won the Glasgow East by-election and shows the SNP on 44% with Labour trailing on 25%. On the basis of these figures all three Labour leadership candidates would lose their seats to the SNP.

Commenting on the poll SNP Depute Leader and Deputy First Minister Ms Nicola Sturgeon MSP said:

"This is a sensational poll, which gives the SNP an all-time record lead of nearly twenty points over a Labour Party which is mired in division and disarray.

"Labour had better hurry up with their leadership election, because on the basis of these figures ALL THREE candidates would lose their seats to the SNP - just as we won Labour's third safest Westminster seat in Scotland in Glasgow East.

"Trust in and support for the SNP Government and our policies are riding high – while Labour are plunged into crisis at both Scottish and UK levels.

“The SNP government have taken decisive action to help families and business with rising costs – freezing the Council Tax, cutting business rates, starting the phased abolition of prescription charges, and restoring free education.

“The people are on the side of the Scottish Government because the SNP are on the side of the people."

ENDS

Notes:

YouGov poll, commissioned by the SNP, conducted 6-8 August, sample 1,028.

Scottish Parliament constituency vote [change from May 2007 in brackets]:

SNP: 44% [+11]
Labour: 25% [-7]
Lib Dem: 14% [-2]
Con: 13% [-4]
Other: 4% [+2]

Applying these figures to the Weber Shandwick Scotland Votes model, the SNP would win 58 of Scotland's 73 Holyrood first-past-the-post seats.

SNP - 58 constituency seats (plus 37)
Labour - 8 constituency seats (minus 29)
LibDems - 6 constituency seats (minus 5)
Tories - 1 constituency seat (minus 3)

The SNP would gain the seats of all three Labour leadership contenders - Iain Gray, Andy Kerr and Cathy Jamieson.

The SNP would gain the following seats (with the three Labour leadership contenders' seats asterisked)

Aberdeen Central
Aberdeen South
Airdrie and Shotts
Ayr
Caithness, Sutherland  and Easter Ross
* Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley (Cathy Jamieson)
Clydebank and Milngavie
Clydesdale
Coatbridge and Chryston
Cumbernauld and Kilsyth
Cunninghame South
Dumbarton
Dunfermline East
Dunfermline West
* East Kilbride (Andy Kerr)
* East Lothian (Iain Gray)
Edinburgh Central
Edinburgh North and Leith
Edinburgh Pentlands
Falkirk East
Galloway and Upper Nithsdale
Glasgow Anniesland
Glasgow Cathcart
Glasgow Kelvin
Glasgow Maryhill
Glasgow Shettleston
Greenock and Inverclyde
Hamilton North and Bellshill
Hamilton South
Kirkcaldy
Linlithgow
Midlothian
Paisley South
Ross, Skye and Inverness West
Strathkelvin and Bearsden
Tweeddale, Ettrick and Lauderdale
West Renfrewshire